Industrial output fell 0.4% month on month in seasonally-adjusted terms in June (May: +0.3% mom). June’s figure marked the worst reading since January. Looking at the details of the release, the contraction came chiefly on the back of capital goods output shrinking and non-durable consumer goods production dipping at a steeper pace than in the previous month. This, more than offset intermediate goods output dropping at a more moderate rate in June, and consumer goods output accelerating.
On an annual basis, industrial output fell 0.5% in June (May: +0.5% yoy). Accordingly, the trend pointed down, with the annual average variation of industrial production coming in at minus 2.9%, down from May’s minus 1.9% reading.
FocusEconomics LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production expanding 0.5% in 2022, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s estimate. In 2023, industrial output is projected to grow 1.3%.